Global Credit Crunch – UK Economy
The recent credit crisis which initially started to show its colors during the end of 2008 is continuing to play the spoilsport in the growth of world economy. It’s been seven to eight months when we first heard of Lehman Brothers filing for liquidity. The root causes of present credit crisis could be summarized as the improper policy of successive governments that failed to check the financial institutions and mind gobbling schemes offered by various banks and financial institutions. The major causes could be termed as excessive liquidity, excessive lending, excessive leverage and excessive risk taking by the banks and other financial institutions. The global credit crisis posed a greater threat to UK Economy. It is estimated that almost 20,000 people will be losing their jobs alone in London’s Financial Service Industry. The overall financial solutions to UK clients thus would be greatly affected. (CEBR, 2008) Therefore it is necessary to find necessary solutions to various aspects of present global credit crisis to strengthen the UK economy.
Implications for Borrowing
The global credit crunch has had the attention each and every human being for bad reasons. The present crisis has effected in job lay offs around the world mostly in the developed countries like USA, the UK, Japan, etc. As mentioned earlier, one of the root causes was excessive lending by the banks to the customers. In other words, the banks and other financial institutions lured the customers to borrow loan without any hassle such like low interest rates, 24 hours approval of loan, pay the installments after one year, etc. Such were the schemes offered by various banks to attract the wide range of customers mainly from housing sector. The banking authorities didn’t even bother to check the liability of the person to whom they are lending, whether the person was able to pay back the money.
The Bishop of London quoted in the Daily Telegraph that ‘it is becoming clearer how far we have been mortgaging our children’s tomorrow to fund our today, both financially and in our use of the finite resources of earth’. Looking at the past experiences of financial crisis occurred during the last millennium, it can be assumed that the process of borrowing from the financial institutions will be a Herculean task. The need to restore capital ratios and to recover the losses incurred, it is understandable the borrowers will have lesser flexibilities, less leverage, hike in interest rates and fees will soar at historical high. (John L. Moscione : p.6) The customers will have to face a strict scrutiny of their valuable documents before receiving loans as a process to identify previous lack luster performance by the bank officials.
Implications for Lending
The present crisis is the result of irregularities by the bank and financial institutions in providing loans to the customers without proper verification of their documents and checking the liability of the person. Excessive liquidity with the financial institutions was the foundation for excessive lending by the banks to rake in more customers. In a bid to acquire more customers, they offered lucrative schemes which were spontaneously grabbed by the seekers. Credit crisis was inevitable in view of real estate market boom in recent years which blew the bubble by way of irregular mortgages, unverified loans without scrutinizing the income or assets of the borrower. This facilitated borrowers to indulge in fraud and leveraging of accounts. Most of the loans were approved on the house mortgage which was another cause for real estate boom all over the world. Selling and buying of houses were on spurge, with rates touching the all time high.
According to statistics from the Bank of England, total net lending to individuals in January 2009 was £1.1 billion which was lower as compared to December 2008 that stood at £2.1 billion. The total net lending secured on dwellings was £0.7 billion in January 2009 as compared to £1.8 billion in December 2008. It is learnt from the facts and figures derived from Bank of England, that lending has drastically come down as a result of present credit crisis. Stern measures have been taken by the financial institutions before the lending process to any individual.
Effect on the regulatory environment
The credit crunch would not have been possible without the golden hand of irresponsible government authorities. Prominent economists did already warn the federal governments in 2007 itself about the coming monster, but their warning was not taken seriously. It all started with New Century Financial, specialized in sub-prime mortgage, filed for bankruptcy in April 2007, which led to collapse of many financial institutions around the world. Aftermath of credit crisis, different Federal Reserve stressed on changing the monetary policies to bail out the financial institutions from the crisis. The UK government announced a temporary cut in the level of VAT to 15% from 17.5%. The Bank of England slashed interest rates from 4.5% to 3% – the lowest level since 1955. The UK government announced plans to pump billions of pounds of taxpayers’ money into three UK banks in one of the UK’s biggest nationalizations. Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), Lloyds TSB and HBOS will have a total of £37bn injected into them. The UK government launched the bail out plan by extending £400 bn to eight of the UKs largest banks. The credit crunch has affected the government and Federal Reserve policies.
Effect on profitability and long-term viability
Using the U.K implications, it’s prospected that the wider U.K economy will have a slower prospected growth. The consumers, like those of the U.K, are experiencing hard times over the entire globe. The resulting low growth rates if the economy may lead to high taxation rates as well as inflation in the process of the government’s seeking to cover deficits of tax revenues. Those governments with big government expenditure plans are bound to experience the same.
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